The long-awaited provides some information about how the Micron project will affect Cayuga County.
Micron plans to invest up to $100 billion to build four chip manufacturing fabs in the town of Clay, Onondaga County. The project is expected to create 9,000 Micron jobs and more than 40,000 in supporting industries. Federal, state and local incentives will support the project, including more than $4 billion from the CHIPS and Science Act.
After Micron announced its intent to build the chip fabs in central New York, Cayuga County formed subcommittees focusing on employment and training, energy, housing and planning. Local leaders have discussed the potential impact. During the Auburn City Council meeting on Thursday, Mayor Jimmy Giannettino mentioned how the city could become a "bedroom community" for Micron workers.
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Households
The draft environmental impact statement projects how many "Micron-induced households" will be added in central New York counties, including Cayuga, by 2035 and 2041.
According to an estimate, there were 31,334 Cayuga County households in 2023. By 2035, the county could add between 808 and 2,090 Micron-induced households. When extended to 2041, the projection grows to between 940 and 2,562 Micron-induced households.
The city of Auburn is expected to have the most new households due to the Micron project. Auburn could add between 360 and 974 households by 2041. The town of Brutus, which is home to a New York State Thruway exit and about 30 miles away from the planned Micron campus, is projected to add between 57 and 155 new households.
Other towns that could have more than 100 new households include Owasco (137), Sterling (117) and Sennett (104).聽
The report estimates that cumulative household growth in Cayuga County will be 2,881 by 2041.
Population
This aligns with the number of households while also showing the impact of the project and longstanding challenges facing upstate communities.
Between 2023 and 2032, Cayuga County is projected to lose 3,149 people. That follows the population loss trend observed for many years. The county's population has fallen from 82,313 in 1990 to an estimated 74,485 in 2023.
However, by 2041, Cayuga County could add 2,562 residents due to the Micron project. The report notes this while acknowledging that the county's overall population "could decline over the next decade even with induced growth from the proposed project."
School-aged children
One question related to the Micron project is how it could increase the school-aged population. If younger workers, especially those with families, move to the area, their children will attend Auburn, Weedsport or other school districts.
The report notes that in the five-county central New York region, which includes Cayuga, Cortland, Madison, Onondaga and Oswego counties, public school enrollment has decreased from 12,448 in 2000 to 8,814 in 2022-23.
The draft environmental impact statement provides low- and high-induced growth estimates to project how many new school-aged children will be in the area. For Cayuga County, the range is 214 to 584 new school-aged children by 2041.
At the low end (214 children), this would include 89 kindergarten through fifth grade students, 48 middle school students and 77 high school students. According to the high-induced growth estimate (584 children), there would be 244 more kindergarten through fifth grade students, 130 in middle school and 211 in high school.

A rendering of the proposed Micron campus in the town of Clay, Onondaga County.
Land loss
The draft environmental impact statement projects how much land cover could be lost due to growth. This could be land that is used for housing with the expected population growth or industrial purposes.
While a vast majority of the land cover losses will be in Onondaga County, it is projected that Cayuga County will lose 757 acres of land, including 676 of cultivated crops, 49 acres of pastures and 24 acres of deciduous forest.
Trash
One of the obvious impacts is that with more people, there will be more trash.
The draft environmental impact statement examined the estimated municipal solid waste increases for the affected counties. In Cayuga County, the baseline is 44,565 tons per year.
By 2041, the county's municipal solid waste is expected to rise by 3,500 tons per year, a 7.9% increase.
Projects
The draft environmental impact statement does not mention any potential projects in Cayuga County, but there are two that have been announced to capitalize on Micron's investment in the region.
Among the notable projects is the sale of the former Bombardier plant in Auburn to St. Louis-based Commercial Development Co. The firm plans to rehabilitate the facility and revive it as a manufacturing plant, which could be used by a supply chain company connected to Micron.
Auburn and Cayuga County partnered on a $23 million housing project that aims to appeal to young professionals, such as Micron workers. The 70 townhome-style apartments would be located on the west end of Auburn.
Government reporter Robert Harding can be reached at (315) 664-4631 or robert.harding@lee.net. Follow him on X @RobertHarding.